DETERMINAN NERACA TRANSAKSI BERJALAN INDONESIA (1994-2009)

Selly Aritha Ginting

Abstract


This research use time series data from 1994 until 2009. The pupose of this research is to analyze the factor affecing Indonesia Current Account. The methods used in this research are descriptive and quantitatif analysis, mean while multiple regression was used as tool of analysis. The factors affecting Indonesia Current Account are exchange rate, foreign investment, gross national product, and domestic inflation.

Exchange retes proved a positive affect on current account, foreign investment affect to current account. On the other hand, gross national income precisely has a negative effect on current account. Domestic inflation also has a negative influential to currnt account. Mean while exchange rate, foreign investmen, gross national product and inflation cause a negative effect simultaneously.

Governtment and stakeholders should keep the exchange rate stability because the exchange rate is the most affecting on international trade. Then government also keep our domestic stability on politic, security, economic to increase economic productivity.

 

Keywords: current account, exchang rate, foreign investment, gross national product, inflation

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